Luka Pavlovic vs Lorenzo Carboni Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve statistics show Pavlovic winning 48.31% of points, surpassing Carboni's 40.19%. Does this give Pavlovic an edge in serving under pressure? Yes, based on these stats, Pavlovic seems to have a more reliable second serve.
• Analyzing return game performance, Carboni excels by capturing 47.63% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pavlovic secures 41.85%. Interestingly, Carboni's efficiency on first serve returns is also higher at 32.95% compared to Pavlovic’s 22.93%.
• Both players demonstrate strong mental fortitude, with Pavlovic narrowly leading Carboni in breakpoints saved, featuring a figure of 52.91% over Carboni’s 51.65%.
• When evaluating overall performance over the past year, Pavlovic leads with a 68.57% match win rate, whereas Carboni holds a 60.27% success rate. Could this be indicative of overall skill consistency? It suggests Pavlovic may have a slight advantage.
• Surface preferences indicate a key difference; Carboni excels on Hard surfaces at a 68% win rate, while Pavlovic shows clay court prowess with a 64% success rate.
• The competitive level of play differs, with Carboni more active in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments ($10K) and Pavlovic in higher-level Challengers/ITF tournaments (> $10K). Pavlovic’s results indicate experience against more competitive opponents.
• Evaluating recent opponent quality, Pavlovic faced competitors with an average ranking of 323.73, slightly tougher than Carboni’s average opponent rank of 362.74.
• In deciding set situations over the past year, Pavlovic proves formidable, winning 68% compared to Carboni’s 57%. This suggests Pavlovic is more resilient in crucial match moments.
• Carboni demonstrates superior breakpoint conversion at 40.18%, significantly better than Pavlovic’s 24.79%, indicating effective performance in crucial game-defining moments.

Editorial Prediction (June 9, 2025, UTC):

When considering recent performance data, Pavlovic presents a solid edge in second serve reliability and overall match wins, indicating greater consistency and adaptability in different match scenarios.

Carboni shows strength in return games and effective breakpoint conversion, which could be decisive in key moments of the match.

Despite Carboni’s ability on hard courts, Pavlovic's performance under pressure in deciding sets and against higher-ranked opponents suggests a competitive edge.

Ultimately, accounting for the combination of second serve efficiency, slightly stronger results against tougher competition, and resilience under pressure, Pavlovic is slightly favored to win the upcoming match. However, Carboni's return game prowess could make this a closely contested battle.